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Copper: trend-following strategy vs buy & hold

Commodities · tracked with United States Copper Index Fund (CPER)

Copper is the key industrial metal for power grids, construction, electric vehicles and electronics. CPER tracks copper futures.

Growth of 100 since 2011

buy & hold · total return
CAGR · buy & hold
3.1%
per year since 2011
Max drawdown · buy & hold
-57.8%
worst fall from a high
Strategy Alpha
🔒
Drawdownfall from the previous high

Buy & hold total return of United States Copper Index Fund (CPER). The Strategy Alpha results and live signal for Copper are part of Plus.

What drives Copper

Because demand follows industrial activity, copper is often called "Dr. Copper" — a gauge of global growth. China's economy, mine supply and the energy transition are major drivers.

How a trend-following strategy handles Copper

Like most commodities, copper moves in cycles rather than compounding steadily. Trend signals help separate the expansion phases from the long stretches when holding it has been dead money.

Our Strategy Alpha applies the same simple, rules-based trend filter to every market: invested while the trend is up, in Treasury bills while it is down, checked once a month. It is not a forecast — it is a discipline that aims to keep most of the long climbs and sit out the deepest drawdowns.

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Educational content, not investment advice. Backtested results are hypothetical and do not guarantee future results. Disclaimer.