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Tesla: trend-following strategy vs buy & hold

Equities · tracked with Tesla (TSLA)

Tesla makes electric vehicles and energy-storage systems and works on autonomous driving and robotics.

Growth of 100 since 2010

buy & hold · total return
CAGR · buy & hold
39.9%
per year since 2010
Max drawdown · buy & hold
-73.6%
worst fall from a high
Strategy Alpha
🔒
Drawdownfall from the previous high

Buy & hold total return of Tesla (TSLA). The Strategy Alpha results and live signal for Tesla are part of Plus.

What drives Tesla

Vehicle deliveries and margins matter, but the valuation rests largely on expectations about autonomy, robotics and energy — and on sentiment around its CEO.

How a trend-following strategy handles Tesla

Tesla is one of the most volatile large stocks: huge rallies and declines of more than 60% have alternated. Volatility of this kind is where a disciplined process earns its keep.

Our Strategy Alpha applies the same simple, rules-based trend filter to every market: invested while the trend is up, in Treasury bills while it is down, checked once a month. It is not a forecast — it is a discipline that aims to keep most of the long climbs and sit out the deepest drawdowns.

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Educational content, not investment advice. Backtested results are hypothetical and do not guarantee future results. Disclaimer.