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Bonds

How bonds pay you, why their prices fall when interest rates rise, the difference between short and long bonds and why they can protect a portfolio.

A bond is a loan. You lend money to a government or company; in return you receive regular interest (the coupon) and your money back at maturity.

Where the return comes from

  • Interest income — the main source of return over time.
  • Price changes — when interest rates fall, existing bonds with higher coupons become more valuable, and vice versa.

Interest-rate risk

The longer a bond's maturity, the more its price reacts to rate changes. Long-term government bonds, such as those in TLT, can move almost as much as stocks: after 2020 they lost roughly half their value as inflation and rates rose. Short-term bonds and Treasury bills barely move at all.

Long Treasuries vs the S&P 500
Growth of 100, buy & hold, total return, log scale

Credit risk

Government bonds of strong countries carry very little default risk. Corporate bonds pay more interest because the borrower may not pay back — and they tend to fall together with stocks in a crisis.

Even "safe" bonds fall: long Treasury drawdowns
Fall from the previous high, buy & hold

Role in a portfolio

High-quality government bonds provide income and, in many recessions and crashes, rise while stocks fall. They are the classic stabiliser — with the important exception of inflationary periods, when stocks and bonds can fall together.

Markets in this asset class

Put it into practice: a free account unlocks equity curves and signals for six core markets and the full glossary.

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Educational content, not investment advice. Disclaimer.