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Currencies

Why exchange rates matter for every international investor, what moves the dollar and the euro, and how currency risk changes your real returns.

Every investment is priced in a currency. If you live in Europe and buy US stocks, your return depends on both the stocks and the EUR/USD exchange rate.

What moves currencies

  • Interest-rate differences — higher rates attract capital and tend to strengthen a currency.
  • Growth and trade balances.
  • Safe-haven flows — in a panic, investors often buy the US dollar.

Currency risk in practice

A US investment that gains 10% in dollars returns only about 0% to a euro investor if the dollar falls 10% against the euro in the same period — and about 20% if the dollar rises 10%. Hedged ETF share classes remove most of this effect at a cost related to the interest-rate difference.

The euro and the US dollar: long, slow trends
Growth of 100, buy & hold, total return, log scale

Instruments

FXE follows the euro against the dollar. UUP follows the US Dollar Index — the dollar against six major currencies, mostly the euro.

Role in a portfolio

Currencies move less than stocks but trend for years. The dollar's tendency to rise in crises can make it a useful hedge. For most private investors the key point is simply to know which currency risk they carry.

Markets in this asset class

Put it into practice: a free account unlocks equity curves and signals for six core markets and the full glossary.

🔒 Open free account

Educational content, not investment advice. Disclaimer.